Longshot of the Day

NYRA Bets handicapper Matthew DeSantis is bringing you a Longshot of the Day, every day! His selections will be 6/1 or higher on the morning line, and he will highlight why the horse has the potential to outrun their odds. How does this help you? Bigger win payouts and better value in vertical exotics bets!

Finding potential value based on the morning line odds can be tricky since if you see something to like in a longshot, others likely do as well. Suddenly a morning line longshot ends up being a short price favorite or second choice. As a result, I will provide some context for my longshot selections moving forward where I give their morning line odds and the lowest odds, I would be comfortable playing them as a win bet.

Some people refer to these as “fair odds,” which are highly subjective, but it is helpful to have guardrails. Have a number in mind for every race at which a horse you like becomes unplayable if they end up taking too much money. The inverse can be true as well. There is a number at which a horse you might be against floats up and suddenly becomes more appealing. Credit to NYRA morning line maker, David Aragona, and others for starting this trend, which is a helpful service for horseplayers.

LONGSHOT OF THE DAYRace Date: 05/13/2025
Longshot of the Day: Race 7 at Horseshoe Indianapolis
Early season turf races at Horseshoe Indy are always an opportunity for value. Get our Longshot of the Day in Race 7.

LONGSHOT OF THE DAYRace Date: 05/09/2025
Longshot of the Day: Race 8 at Churchill Downs
Find value at Churchill Downs with a horse that Matthew DeSantis thinks will massively outrun his 15/1 morning line odds.

LONGSHOT OF THE DAYRace Date: 05/08/2025
Longshot of the Day: Race 5 at Belmont At The Big A
Get today's value pick of the day in a $30,000 maiden claimer going 6 ½ furlongs on dirt for 3+ NY-bred fillies & mares at Belmont At The Big A.

LONGSHOT OF THE DAYRace Date: 05/07/2025
Longshot of the Day: Race 7 at Horseshoe Indy
Wednesday’s maiden special weight race at Horseshoe Indianapolis features 10 starters and offers a little bit of value as there are reasons to play against the top three choices.

LONGSHOT OF THE DAYRace Date: 05/06/2025
Longshot of the Day: Race 4 at Horseshoe Indianapolis
Find value on the turf in Race 4 at Horseshoe Indianapolis, betting against a favorite coming off a long layoff.
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