Santa Anita Week 3 Track Stats
SANTA ANITA PARK TRACK STATS
Throughout the Fall Meet at Santa Anita Park, Matthew DeSantis from NYRA Bets will provide updated weekly track trends. Get the latest stats updated through 10/15/24.
WHAT ARE TRACK TRENDS?
Track trends provide two levels of data for bettors and handicappers. First, it analyzes how frequently favorites are winning different levels of races as well as looking at how favorites perform on different surfaces and distances. Second, they analyze how different running styles (leaders, trackers, closers) perform on different surfaces and distances to have the ideal winning trip.
Use the data below to help identify helpful trends for handicapping and betting through the first week of racing of the Fall Meet at Santa Anita Park.
POST TIME FAVORITE ANALYSIS
Overall, post time favorites are winning at a 41.9% rate during three weeks at Santa Anita Park. Looking beyond just favorites, 68.8% of winners have been 4/1 or lower at post time. Meanwhile, 15.1% of winners have been 10/1 or higher come post time.
From a betting standpoint, doing a flat $2 win bet on every post time favorite would return $1.90 (-5.0% ROI) through the meet. Meanwhile, here are how favorites performed at different odds.
| Post Time Favorite Odds | Count | Win % | Top 3 % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below even money | 21 | 52.40% | 81.00% |
| 1/1 to 9/5 | 53 | 43.40% | 67.90% |
| 2/1 to 3/1 | 18 | 27.80% | 50.00% |
| Higher than 3/1 | 1 | 0.00% | 0% |
Field Size
- Average dirt field size – 6.91
- Average turf field size – 8.46
- Overall average field size – 7.74
Races by Level
- Maiden Special Weight race favorites – 38.1%
- Maiden Claiming race favorites – 54.5%
- Claiming race favorites – 36.8%
- Optional Claiming race favorites – 43.5%
- Allowance race favorites – 50.0%
- Stakes race favorites – 41.2%
Races by Surface and Distance
- Dirt sprint favorites – 47.8%
- Dirt route favorites – 50.0%
- Turf sprint favorites – 18.8%
- Turf Downhill sprint favorites – 57.1%
- Turf route favorites – 40.7%
Winning Trips Analysis
Dirt Sprint Winners (n=23)
- 60.9% have been leading at the ½ mile mark.
- 34.8% have been tracking 3 lengths or less from lead at ½ mile mark.
- 4.3% have come from more than 3 lengths back at ½ mile mark.
Dirt Route Winners (n=20)
- 50.0% have been leading at the ½ mile mark.
- 50.0% have been tracking 3 lengths or less from lead at ½ mile mark.
- 0.0% have come from more than 3 lengths back at ½ mile mark.
Turf Sprint Winners (n=16)
- 18.7% have been leading at the ½ mile mark.
- 50.0% have been tracking 3 lengths or less from lead at ½ mile mark.
- 31.3% have come from more than 3 lengths back at ½ mile mark.
Turf Downhill Sprint Winners (n=7)
- 28.6% have been leading at the ½ mile mark.
- 57.1% have been tracking 3 lengths or less from lead at ½ mile mark.
- 14.3% have come from more than 3 lengths back at ½ mile mark.
Turf Route Winners (n=27)
- 22.2% have been leading at the ½ mile mark.
- 44.5% have been tracking 3 lengths or less from lead at ½ mile mark.
- 33.3% have come from more than 3 lengths back at ½ mile mark.