Betting Fair Grounds Race Course
FAIR GROUNDS BETTING HQ
HOW TO BET ON FAIR GROUNDS:
What: Fair Grounds Race Course
When: November 22, 2024 - March 23, 2025
Where: New Orleans, Louisiana
How do I bet Fair Grounds?
Bet Fair Grounds with NYRA Bets. NYRA Bets members can take advantage of exclusive promotions to help you win more money all meet long. From the Lecomte (G3), to the Risen Star (G2) and the Louisiana Derby (G2), we've got what you need to bet confidently and win big.
How can I watch Fair Grounds?
Watch and bet on every Fair Grounds race on NYRA Bets. You can also always watch replays on NYRA Bets day and night!
TIPS FOR BETTING THE LOUISIANA DERBY
Get prepared to bet the 2025 Louisiana Derby with NYRA Bets handicapper Matthew DeSantis. He went back to look at past winning trends in this race at the Fair Grounds, which includes analyzing how things changed when the distance of the race was updated to 1 3/16 miles in 2020.
TRAINERS
- Todd Pletcher has won the Louisiana Derby (G2) five times, including 2023 with Kingsbarns.
- Steve Asmussen has won the race four times, most notably with Gun Runner in 2016 and Epicenter in 2022.
RECENT FORM
- Over the last 20 years, 60% of Louisiana Derby winners won their previous start.
- Since 2003 only two Louisiana Derby winners were last out maiden winners.
- Meanwhile, 80% of winners of the Louisiana Derby since 2003 ran in a stakes race prior to winning the coveted Kentucky Derby prep. 10 of the 12 entrants ran against stakes competition last time out.
WINNING TRIPS
- Since 2003, we have seen a variety of winning trips be successful:
- 25% of winners were led at ½ mile mark.
- 40% of winners were tracked within 3 lengths at ½ mile mark.
- 35% of winners were closed from more than 3 lengths at ½ mile mark.
- However, in 2020 the race shifted to 1 3/16 miles, which may have shifted the winning trip dynamics as three of the last four winners led at the ½ mile mark with the only non-leading winner (Epicenter) tracking within 1 ½ lengths of the pace at the ½ mile mark.
- Times for the quarter, half, and three-quarter mile fractions of the four races since shifting to 9.5 furlongs:
- 2023 – 24.3, 49.3, 1:14.3 (won gate-to-wire)
- 2022 – 23.1, 47.1, 1:11.3 (won tracking)
- 2021 – 23.0, 47.0, 1:11.1 (won leading to ½ mile mark)
- 2020 – 23.2, 48.0, 1:12.2 (won gate-to-wire)
LOUISIANA DERBY BETTING ANGLES
- The Louisiana Derby has been a relatively favorite-heavy race with 50% of post time favorites winning the race over the last 20 years.
- However, if the favorite does not win, it is typically a longshot as 30% of Louisiana Derby winners since 2003 after been the 4th choice or lower come post time.
